Ce titlu lung. Dar fals nu e, este?

Mubarak’s options

Since the time of the pharaohs, power in Egypt has always rested on two pillars: the priests and the army. There are no priests now, only the army, and it will now decide the fate of President Mubarak. He has met with top military leaders, and the next few days should tell us if and when Mubarak will step down.

Ideally, Mubarak will make his decision before the presidential election set for September, only the second presidential election in the country’s history. Before the first election in 2005, the president was elected by an obedient parliament. He should call an early election in one to three months to cut down on the opposition’s time to prepare. After all, the opposition already has a potential candidate – former IAEA head Mohamed ElBaradei.

But few things work out ideally in the Middle East, and an orderly transition to a more democratic government is among the least likely scenarios.

Mubarak wants his son Gamal to eventually succeed him, but the army has already voiced its opposition to that idea. All Egyptian rulers since the coup led by Gamal Abdel Nasser in 1952 that overthrew King Farouk have been military officers, including Anwar Sadat and Hosni Mubarak. But Gamal is not an officer.

Behind the scenes, Mubarak could be trying to find a successor that is acceptable to the army and to negotiate the terms of his resignation. In the Middle East, this process is essential to ensure that you, your family and your assets will be safe. Some in Egypt are already calling for Mubarak to stand trial for the crimes he committed while in power.

Sursa: Ria Novosti

În timp ce tineretul în blugi şi în adidaşi se omoară cu forţele de ordine – seamănă, nu? numai că în ’89 nu aveam Facebook, Twitter şi Yahoo Messenger.. – în timp ce fraierii mor, Iliescuţul egiptenilor aşteaptă să-i vină rândul în scenariu.

Cum ziceam intr-un comment, Alex mi-a dat o idee: cum a fost revolutia „voastra”? Ce ati facut „de revolutie”?